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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri July 5th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Ellis Park Race 8

Post Time 3:19 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 TWEETSTER is a logical type to get back on track in this race and given a little more time between starts. She was dominant breaking her maiden on debut though had to work HARD to get the win, something she was not recovered from taking on winners on 5/3 and did not have the right trip handling from the outside post last month at CD. TWEETSTER fits as an individual and a solid alternative to #8 LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY, a weaker, likely underlay favorite in this race. 

Ellis Park Race 9

Post Time 3:48 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#7 TELESCOPIC comes into this race with buried form and subtle class edge in this field. He has run against some competitive, higher par MSW fields, strong race par than the events morning line favorite, #1 ROCKY JOY exits. 

Los Alamitos Tb Race 1

Post Time 3:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

The effort from #5 PROMISE ME KAT was sneaky good enough to give a look right back to in this spot and on the class drop. There are other in with the higher figures from the MSW though if KAT can IMPROVE she could be right there with those rivals. 

Los Alamitos Tb Race 2

Post Time 3:28 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Might have been worth a mention in R1 as trainer S. Knapp has been sending out live runners this meet and follows #4 FROST ALERT returning here off the layoff. That trend is key as he will be required to run to form though has enough early speed if race ready to present a front end (Q1) pace advantage in this field. 

Woodbine Race 2

Post Time 12:46 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

The change in class upgrades #1 ASHUKA with the recent form and series of minor finishes and as much as that form gives him a look that must carry to #2 ROCK IT RED finishing a BLANKET along with ASHUKA in the 6/14 common race and the two both recording a B- OptixGRADE despite the change in outcome. 

Woodbine Race 3

Post Time 1:20 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 INDY COWBOY brings in upside for today's conditions and subtle changes/trips into this race. Going back to their debut last season he projected to improve and did just that with each start prior to the layoff. Coming back this year he has shown similar progression and upside off the TROUBLE trip and rider change following the TACTIC- last out. 

Woodbine Race 6

Post Time 2:57 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 UNCLE'S THE BARBER is a longshot in this race as his figures sit under par and below many of his rivals here. With that said, he can move up on the TURF and a flow upgrade from the 6/21 event caught WIDE on a DUEL into a Fast early (and Very Fast late) pace forced from the far outside post. 

Woodbine Race 8

Post Time 3:59 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

You have the main players in this race with middle group led by #6 JAGGERSGOTAGUN and #8 FRACEN MACHO though outside that group sits #11 CAPTIVE SILENCE one that caught the eye in his debut and with a trip that suggest he has more to show and can IMPROVE.