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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat July 13th, 2024

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Peter's Simulcast Plays

Canterbury Park Race 1

Post Time 5:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Wynn Trip - 2/1 2 Laws of Man - 9/5 4 Capala - 8/1

Canterbury Park Race 2

Post Time 5:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Street Warrior - 8/5 1 Frosty View - 2/1 2 Mach Two - 7/2

Canterbury Park Race 3

Post Time 6:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Mister Muldoon - 9/5 2 Mission Key - 7/2 3 Brit Blitz - 9/2

Canterbury Park Race 4

Post Time 6:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Let's Skedaddle - 9/2 1 Midnight Current - 9/5 6 Gypsy Reward - 5/1

Canterbury Park Race 5

Post Time 7:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Xtreme Diva - 1/1 4 Honorable Mischief - 3/1 6 Call'em All - 4/1

Canterbury Park Race 6

Post Time 7:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Eye On Ry - 3/1 8 Xavey Dave - 9/2 5 Jose Patio - 5/1

Canterbury Park Race 7

Post Time 8:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Cupids Crush - 9/2 7 Thunders Rocknroll - 4/1 3 Tour Queen - 5/1

Canterbury Park Race 8

Post Time 8:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Purrfect Moon - 4/1 4 Pat's Gal - 5/2 2 Stealthespotlight - 3/1

Saratoga Race 1

Post Time 11:35 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Dare to Breeze - 4/5 5 Amore Sofia - 5/1 2 Mischief Maxey - 9/2

Saratoga Race 2

Post Time 12:07 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Talk of the Nation - 2/1 3 Northern Invader - 5/1 2 Mysterious Night [IRE] - 8/5

Saratoga Race 3

Post Time 12:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 I Got No Munny - 9/2 1 Nelson Avenue - 2/1 7 Lost in Rome - 8/1

Saratoga Race 4

Post Time 1:13 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 J D Factor - 6/1 2 Illuminare - 7/5 5 Abadin - 8/1

Saratoga Race 5

Post Time 1:46 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Transactional [GB] - 6/5 3 Rebel Red [GB] - 5/1 7 Ramblin' Wreck - 4/1

Saratoga Race 6

Post Time 2:20 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Stolen Future - 7/2 6 U Should B Dancing - 6/1 11 Strictly Taboo - 6/1

Saratoga Race 7

Post Time 2:54 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Tenacious Leader - 5/2 9 Innovator - 4/1 2 Moment's Notice - 8/1

Saratoga Race 8

Post Time 3:29 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Hurricane Nelson - 3/1 3 Upstanding - 4/1 2 Point Clear - 5/1

Saratoga Race 9

Post Time 4:04 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Irish Aces - 2/1 9 Beuys [IRE] - 5/1 7 Georgie W - 8/1

Saratoga Race 10

Post Time 4:43 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Moira - 5/1 4 Didia [ARG] - 7/2 10 Chili Flag [FR] - 9/2

Saratoga Race 11

Post Time 5:17 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Mo Plex - 6/1 1 Mentee - 6/5 5 Three Echoes - 4/1

Saratoga Race 12

Post Time 5:50 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Final Verdict - 6/1 2 Dr Oseran - 7/2 11 King Moonracer - 8/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Wikipedia 7 Reign Supreme 8 Fast Louie

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Lakers Bank 4 Stonebridge Thrill 7 McWicked Time

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Shoot The Whiskey 4 Huntress

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Ron 2 Jack Panic 1 Roll With The Flow

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Stormont Happy Day 6 Mastercraft 7 Spiros

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Wheels On Fire 8 Stockade Seelster 3 Winmebak

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Myretirementdream 8 Northern Looker 6 Ways N Means

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Best Night Ever 2 Watching Sunset 1 Bet The Bb

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Write Me A Rose 1 Whichwaytothebeach 4 Blue Hunt

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Livinthebeachlife 8 Dreamfair Arnie 2 Toronto
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat July 13th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Colonial Downs Race 2

Post Time 1:07 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 PRINCESS OF OMAHA is given a look off the debut last month; an appearance of a PREP and has the benefit of experience and the class edge over the other two with experience. 

Ellis Park Race 4

Post Time 1:21 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 EDDIE M caught a race with minimal change in running order in the layoff return last out to IMPROVE. The change in class is closer to a lateral move with the circuit switch/purse dropping to the claiming level to suggest intent and placing the horse where they can compete. 

Ellis Park Race 6

Post Time 2:22 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 PENROD will get another look back around two turns and placed where he can compete at the MCL level. His form is buried from the Oaklawn trips as well as the current year given freshening after stumbling at the break (TROUBLE_S) last out at CD. 

Saratoga Race 7

Post Time 2:54 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 SAM'S ROCKET is one to follow. She can run and perhaps on talent alone will pick up the win first out though one that has scope and will relish added ground. 

Woodbine Race 1

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 SAMMY STONE comes into this race with form and class from the prior seasons that fit on par. The timing also can upgrade him making the second start off the layoff and going back to the 6/16 race compromised by the SLOG, TROUBLE_S in a race shape that played Very Slow early and Slow late. 

#8 PONTIAC could also fly under the radar with the distance change, one that is a positive on the STRETCH out in this third start off the layoff paired with the logical class change to compete. 

#2 KILLARY does not hold as much of an edge back under similar conditions, however has been effective on the innercourse and could have that edge over #6 KINGSCOTE with the surface change today following a BTL effort in the most recent start on the Tapeta price compensation making their grass debut and in against older.

Woodbine Race 2

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

All the "red" in the Past 3 Runlines for #2 GABBY SQUARED makes her require some price compensation, though should be there off those recent finishing positions. There are some positives to make the case as she moves up on today's Surface/Distance Plot, Green Alert, and upgraded wheeling back from the X_FLOW trip two weeks ago with the Above rating in the Class column. 

Woodbine Race 3

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 POPPY'S JOY is upgraded with the change in circuit giving a slight edge in this spot and preferred over #6 SPELLCHECK one that came up short and PLODDY with a PERFECT trip last out. 

Woodbine Race 4

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 VAZHI turned in a BTL effort coming back this season (2/25) at GP that translated to a B race making a MOVE through TRAFFIC on this circuit last out (as well as the B on debut last October as a juvenile) and strong as the favorite in this event. 

Woodbine Race 6

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 AWASEF will get a reset, freshening and changes second N/A start. Going back to the 4/24 event, the front runner cleared early and she was taken back and NO_PUSH from off the pace. She comes into this race with steady local works for K. Attard and in a reasonable spot to find where she fits.

Casse is also out to find where #6 EMERANCE fits as she makes her second start off the layoff and in the sophomore season. She can be given a slight flow upgrade from the return last month and a speed figure projection from the juvenile season, though still must step up and while the ML appears fair odds she could be shorter. #10 CRY FREEDOM brings similar upside from the 6/1 common race and on a similar second off the layoff pattern.

#1 OUR FLAG FLYING turned in a BTL (B-) effort last out making a CLOSE into a SLOW early pace and returns under a similar par and what should be different dynamic for her runstyle. 

Woodbine Race 7

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

In race where a case can be made for many in the field, the 10-1 is appealing on #1 COMANCHE COUNTRY (especially should Poppy's Joy run well earlier on the card) making a local debut. She fits on figures, class and pace for today's race shape and while she is giving up the two month recency, she has steady local works into this event and two races back this year with progressive for in both stakes races.

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat July 13th, 2024

Download as PDF

Stakes Spotlight

Woodbine Race 8

Post Time 3:48 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

MY DEAR STAKES: 

At this point, the group of juvenile fillies all come in lightly raced and many off a singular start and debut win where projections must be made to which can continue to move forward in their career. In this field, #5 OBLIGING holds the lone B+ OptixGRADE to suggest a class edge stepping up front maiden company. With that said, this is still a test stepping up from the MTH race on circuit and stakes company though from the visuals is at the least deserving of the placement and confident move from the connections. The move to the Tapeta should not be any issue based on her physicality.