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Sat July 20th, 2024 |
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Emily's Analysis
Ellis Park Race 1
Post Time 11:50 AM CST
#1 BATTLE OF LEXINGTON is a standout (ABOVE+) given the placement here dropping in for a claiming tag. The move can come with reservations though for this individual is at the right level for their abilities and has been overmatched in allowance company.
Ellis Park Race 2
Post Time 12:20 PM CST
#1 BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS also finds an upgrade though a more subtle change than the move in R1. She remains at the MSW level, though today's par is much lower than what she has faced in the four prior starts to move up naturally in today's group.
#2 SANG finds a subtle drop with the slightly lower par today and has shown improvement race-to-race while on the main track and had been pointed to the turf. #11 ELHUBOOB recorded her best figure on debut in the April turf sprint at GP under a similar par and projected to IMPROVE off the initial start. While she remained consistent given the time before returning last month at WO, the winner of the race, Stealin Time came from off the pace to present a slight flow upgrade as the PRESSED pacesetter.
Ellis Park Race 3
Post Time 12:49 PM CST
On class, form and figures #3 DIVINE ARMOR checks the boxes (ABOVE) and upgraded from the BTL effort back in May. The change in distance comes into play stretching back out around two turns. He has back races at the two turn distance that fits with their current form and par and even upgraded from the 9f event back in April at KEE making an early RUSH into a race shape that was VF/Very Fast early and late.
Ellis Park Race 4
Post Time 1:21 PM CST
#5 J. P. RACE looks to hold the class edge of the two T. Amoss runners and with the others in this field. He is eligible for this condition based on just two claiming starts the other times in against much tougher company and appears the drop and even today's placement on this circuit and group is where he fits.
Ellis Park Race 7
Post Time 2:50 PM CST
#9 BEELIVE HER moves up with the change in class and form cycle pattern. She drops back in for the claiming tag and class relief rom the starter races after the MCL win in May. #6 JUST LIKE YOU was given a follow after the EX - EXCUSE back in May at HS Indy and returned there last month with a credible place finish in N2 allowance company. The circuit switch makes for a lateral move and logical spot to compete.