« 07/21/2024 | 07/23/2024 » |
Mon July 22nd, 2024 |
Download as PDF |
Emily's Analysis
Ellis Park Race 1
Post Time 11:50 AM CST
The analysis starts with #1 GRACE GIVEN with the class drop to move up naturally at this level and stands out with some of the higher recorded figures in this field.
First time starter #3 ZIVA is worth a mention with the belated debut noting she was entered last October at KEE in a $30k MCL event and with some consistent works as of late shows up here as a 4yo with the connections looking to be reasonable on placement.
Ellis Park Race 2
Post Time 12:20 PM CST
The higher figure from the debut on #2 CATAMOUNT (WEAK) should get attention here and while a solid effort on the day, he had to work HARD and faces a tougher group on the circuit switch and other speed to contend with.
Ellis Park Race 3
Post Time 12:49 PM CST
#6 GIVE HER ANOTHER can IMPROVE all around and step up in this second career start. Going back to her debut, she caught the eye in the paddock making a positive PRERACE+ appearance and in-running making a WIDE MOVE to record a B- OptixGRADE despite the 5th place result.
Ellis Park Race 5
Post Time 1:54 PM CST
#6 WITS AND WAGERS turned in a BTL effort both in the $50k N2 claiming even to close out 2023 as well as the return last month protected off the bench in starter allowance company. She holds a solid pair of efforts from last season over those course and two turn mile distance that might not have been enough at the time and place, though fit on par here.
Ellis Park Race 7
Post Time 2:52 PM CST
This is a competitive race where a case can be made on any in this field and many different outcomes would not be any surprise. Sticking with a current trend, J. Sharp has sent out live in a limited sample and has a pair in this race. #2 WINTERS LION will give up recency off the layoff though going back to his races from last year he was holding his own against tough competition and productive races that could see him find the right group here. His most recent start from Jan at OP comes with a "flow upgrade" scenario with the top three from off the pace and the winner, Magic Tap finishing in a photo for the Razorback (G3) win in his next start.
Ellis Park Race 9
Post Time 3:48 PM CST
After the mention of J. Sharp earlier on the card, the barn will be represented here by #10 CLOUDY HOLIDAY one that recorded a B- OptixGRADE in MSW company back in May at CD and projects to IMPROVE off the 6/16, their most recent start. #11 ENGLISH CHUNNEL also given a massive upgrade forced to CLOSE into a Very Slow early and late pace in that 6/16 common race making his debut.
Mon July 22nd, 2024 |
Download as PDF |
Stakes Spotlight
Ellis Park Race 8
Post Time 3:19 PM CST
TWIN BRIDGES STAKES:
The feature race should present some value with #1 AMARETTI looking to get attention once again coming off a dominant (B+) win and figure in the most recent start. While running back to her best has her competitive there are some concerns if this is the time and place as she worked HARD for the win last out. #4 YOUR SO SILEA also comes into this stakes event off solid form pairing wins at CD though did appear to "peak" in that cycle and another that requires a top in this stakes event to win.
#8 NON VIOLENCE looks pointed to this event finishing second in the race last year. She closed out 2023 in the Groupie Doll at the mile distance beyond her SPRINTER characteristics. Freshened for 2024, she was given the return in stakes company off the bench at LS and while there is some lack of recency (56-days) she has steady works to compensate along with the intent.
#7 SECRET STATEMENT might be a touch light on class, though does show up in this race with current form (BTL 6/9) to get a share at a price, less "obvious" than others in this field given the recent finishing positions.
Mon July 22nd, 2024 |
Download as PDF |