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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Wed July 24th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Saratoga Race 1

Post Time 12:10 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

A weak favorite in #2 MACAW should present value and from a pace standpoint they bring early speed though #5 SHAKIN THE BELLE the lone older runners has the edge of those two front runners. The scenario with those two going at it early benefits #1 TWO TONS OF FUN overall and as an individual moves up on the class DROP. He should also appreciate the conditioning on the turf returning to the DIRT and keying off their debut making a strong CLOSE and GALLOP+ in an effort that fits here on par. 

Saratoga Race 3

Post Time 1:18 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 SCARLET'S DREAM showed progression with each start since her debut and follows another improving pattern in this current form cycle. That progression might not appears as "obvious" if just looking at the running lines and finishing positions and ignoring the race-to-race pattern and wheeling back from the BTL OptixNOTE last out. Race record should be considered for #2 DUCKPHAT one that is tougher to hold confidence on the win end, though does fit today's conditions and at the least a solid value underneath key.