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Mon August 5th, 2024 |
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Emily's Analysis
Ellis Park Race 1
Post Time 11:50 AM CST
Trainer E. Foster has two runners in this field and while #1 TAMARA'S WAY finds a subtle change in class for the second start this meet, she also finds a significant distance change and should be one of many in here to keep up an honest pace. That honest pace could assist stablemate #2 MISSY BEE one that turned in a competitive (B-) effort at this level, course and distance last month with some subtle TROUBLE- making a move behind the eventual chalk winner - a B- effort in line with common rival #5 BYZANTINE and should be the longer of the two today.
Ellis Park Race 2
Post Time 12:20 PM CST
A tough race to try and get real creative with the logical runners in this field - #7 GRAND PRAIRIE GAL has the benefit of recency, form around two turns with progressive figures in each start. She will reunite with C. Torres the rider from back on 4/28 at OP, a race with projected IMPROVE given the TROUBLE_S and middle MOVE over the poor track conditions sprinting off the layoff.
Ellis Park Race 4
Post Time 1:21 PM CST
#4 CAWKAB has been a common type since their debut late in 2022 and noted with the change in class today to run for the claiming tag as less of a concerning move. The barn change is notable to create some value in this case and upgraded from the return last month at HS Indy, the TROUBLE_S taking significant contact from both sides at the break forced back early and the top three finished together at the wire.
Ellis Park Race 6
Post Time 2:26 PM CST
Sitting on the AE, #14 SHOGUN earned a follow off the BTL debut last month and going out for live connections here. They will requires some racing luck to compete though one to tab and follow.
Ellis Park Race 8
Post Time 3:19 PM CST
#9 QUIETLY caught the eye and dominant (B+) on debut willing over the CD turf back in May they earned a follow from the allowance last month, a less than ideal trip (TACTIC-) making an early SAME MOVE and in a race shape and race par higher than today and should move up with the race under her belt and overall added experience.