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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat August 10th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Ellis Park Race 4

Post Time 1:21 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Despite coming off the show finish last month #7 BAYTOWN BEATLE could be overlooked showing up on this circuit. Going back to their KEE debut, class (DROP) and the poor (SLOG, TROUBLE_S) start had them compromised through showed they can run (BTL 7/18) and compete in the right spot. 

Ellis Park Race 5

Post Time 1:54 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 AMBER CASCADE looks to hold the edge over #1 ENCLOSURE splitting the two from a value standpoint. The race shape could be contentious even with the compact nature, a scenario required for #2 LET'S DUET to get her trip. 

Woodbine Race 6

Post Time 2:44 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 TIVALI is logical coming back from a BTL effort in their most recent start. Looking to get creative #9 LADY WELLINGTON should move up on the TURF in this surface switch and second at this $15K N2L condition this cycle. #1 I'M TENACIOUS can IMPROVE off their most recent start and should be overlooked off the recent running line and finishing positions. 

Woodbine Race 8

Post Time 3:52 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 A LITTLE FRISKY comes into this race with buried form and value with the 10-1 ML. Her class played out with the B+ win in the Glorious Song stakes last year as a juvenile and has shown progression this year with foundation around two turns. She turned in a BTL effort against older in OC company back in June and upside off a TROUBLE_S and X_WIDE trip last month in the WO Oaks.