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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri August 16th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Del Mar Race 1

Post Time 5:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

As noted on socials trainer J. Mullins is on a forward trend and upgrading #5 LAST ELIZABETHAN in this competitive race. She will make her second start of the meet and upgraded from the outside post making a WIDE MOVE X_FLOW and late CLOSE at a time the barn was cold. 

Del Mar Race 2

Post Time 5:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 I DON'T GET IT should move up on the class drop along. While they recorded some strong figures last sprint, their current form warrants the change in class to find the right level for their abilities. The switch to the dirt is the unknown for #7 PASS THE BATON though otherwise fits in this group and intent in the second start of the season. They wheel right back from showing run after a SLOG/TROUBLE_S making a WIDE MOVE X_FLOW and return to the preferred route distance here. 

Woodbine Race 2

Analysis by Emily Gullikson
Value should hold on #7 COLONEL MUSTARD coming off a 6th place finish a B-/BTL effort last month. His form fits off that race as well as the events this season and surface versatile should that come into play. 

Woodbine Race 4

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 FOREST WOODSMAN projected to IMPROVE off their debut and wheeling right back took a slight step forward on the quick return. Another three weeks for this third start and with the foundation comes the class drop to further move up naturally. 

Woodbine Race 5

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 AGILE DANCER shows up in this spot with hidden form and competitive races this season despite off the board in the recent starts. Class along with trip has played a role including the 7/28 start racing X_BIAS.