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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri September 6th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Del Mar Race 1

Post Time 5:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#11 GLACIER RIM has the edge over many of the experienced runners given a BTL on debut and turning in a B OptixGRADE albeit with a PERFECT/FLOW trip three weeks ago. With that in mind there are other lightly raced types that could jump up off their recent starts: #7 SHE'S JUST GRAND caught the eye making a CLOSE X_FLOW in her debut last month and projects to IMPROVE off those visuals; a similar upgrade MOVE X_FLOW given to #9 G'ORO in their July showing during the first part of the meet. 

#5 MANIAE and #6 THANK YOU KERA sit a tad below the others however can move up with the changes in surface/distance here. 

Del Mar Race 4

Post Time 6:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 KING AND COUNTRY is worth taking a shot with in this spot. While he has some hurdles in against older the STRETCH out in distance is a positive and his form cycle pattern follows an upswing in speed figures for this race and a showing off improvement sits on par and not far off (if at all) from many of today's more "obvious" rivals. 

Del Mar Race 5

Post Time 7:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 ENGLISH DANGER was pointed to the 8/9 event returning to N2 company after racing above conditions (N3) "dirtying" up her form while keeping fitness in July. While the 4th place outcome could have been less than ideal, it was not without adversity given the TRAFFIC TROUBLE MOVE following the SLOG and still earned a credible figures and B- OptixGRADE that fits right back in with today's group. 

Woodbine Race 1

Post Time 12:05 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 LEMON TWIST brings some upside into this race that is tough to see off the running lines alone. He turned in a solid figures on debut, a tough spot going two turns first out; followed by a second start just 12-days later a subtle flow upgrade setting the pace on 6/28. He brings a bigger flow upgrade PRESSED on a Very Fast early pace coming off a slight freshening on 8/11 and physically should appreciate the move back to the TURF. 

Woodbine Race 5

Post Time 2:17 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Positive intent appears in play for #1 GOOD SOLDIER wheeling back from the sprint (IMPROVE - minimal change in running order 8/8) with the blinker addition and return to a route of ground. He turned in a competitive effort and figures this season including the 6/14 route race along with back class and figures around two turns on the turf from previous seasons for things to come together here at a price

Woodbine Race 6

Post Time 2:51 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 THREAD was intended for TURF in her debut last month and physically looks the part as they wheel right back in this spot for the grass. Her stablemate #9 TIZ HER MONEY coming in and right back in two weeks from Saratoga might not have as much intent here with the switch and timing, though would not be any shock to step up second out. 

On the "second out" angle #1 SCAT GIRL stepped on 7/20 with a BTL effort and wheels back for the grass from the WEATHER impacted racing on 7/18. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri September 6th, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Del Mar Race 2

Post Time 5:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

This could turn into a productive race to follow: all three returning from the Graduation Stakes merit respect with the winner #2 R HEISMAN coming off the win earned with adversity; #4 THE GYPSY COWBOY making a WIDE MOVE CLOSE and GALLOP+ (along with the follow off the X_BIAS, IMPROVE 7/21 debut) and even #3 TIMTY projecting to IMPROVE off their 7th place result compromised on outcome with the trip.

#1 SHEA BRENNAN will make their first start against winners though showed class and dominance breaking their maiden on debut with the B+ OptixGRADE - that Grade higher than the B earned from both #6 BODACIOUS when he won first out and #5 STYLE CAT here last month. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri September 6th, 2024

Download as PDF

Peter's Simulcast Plays

Horseshoe Indy Race 1

Post Time 1:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Werk It Wendy - 2/5 1 Amazingness - 5/1 4 C V Scenic Legacy - 8/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 2

Post Time 1:41 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Win Me Over - 5/2 2 Butch's Best - 3/1 3 Mowins - 5/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 3

Post Time 2:12 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Swan House - 3/1 6 Our Shenanigan - 5/2 5 Bread to Run - 9/2

Horseshoe Indy Race 4

Post Time 2:43 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Forever Lasting - 4/1 5 Mr Negativity - 9/5 1 Lookin At Justice - 8/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 5

Post Time 3:14 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Deep Strike - 7/2 7 On Palm Sunday - 3/1 9 Campton - 2/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 6

Post Time 3:45 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Kall Karl - 6/1 9 True Prodigy - 7/2 1 Free Rambling Man - 7/5

Horseshoe Indy Race 7

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Charming Victory - 6/1 6 Governor Ron - 3/1 10 Porkyismyname - 9/5

Horseshoe Indy Race 8

Post Time 4:47 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Watcher - 3/1 9 Gonnabee - 2/1 5 Closer Tothe Truth - 10/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 9

Post Time 5:18 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Minaret Station - 7/5 1 Hired Gun - 5/2 8 Reach - 4/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 10

Post Time 5:46 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 El Jovero - 5/1 4 Chicory Blaze - 3/5 3 Mi Sargento - 10/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Up Joeys Credit 3 Fabrizio 1 Tango Seelster

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Palladium Hanover 2 Bettorbeflyin 4 Forefather

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Wicked Leader 6 Wednesday 7 My Last Kiss

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Sauble Wilson 3 Grin And Win 7 Tip Of Time

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Cantgetuoutamymind 1 Ann 7 No Money Honey

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Pipewrench Charlie 1 Control The Power 4 Control The Smile

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Glenboro 3 One Last Wish 4 Lee Leo

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Kansas Panic 6 Delightful Leader 3 Harry G

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Silver Label 7 Tells On A Roll 6 Prohibition Legal

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Singingintherain 6 Greatest Power 8 Pasta Delight