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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat December 7th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Fair Grounds Race 3

Post Time 1:45 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 FACE THE FUTURE makes a belated second start and earned a follow from their Hawthorne debut back in June. They made a positive PRERACE+ appearance in the paddock then lost their race WASTED a lot of energy waiting until post time (post time drag noted) that translated to a TROUBLE_S (many in the field had legit trouble and contact at the break) then made a WIDE MOVE an overall BTL effort in the distant place finish behind a well-intended open length pacesetting winner (B+) called Murdock from the L. Rivelli barn, one that has yet to run back.  

Fair Grounds Race 4

Post Time 2:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#12 C'EST MAGNIFIQUE should be live in this spot and hold the ML given the recent running lines paired with the far outside post. Their form back at Hawthorne fits on par especially the 8/4 B OptixGRADE and 82 speed figure as one of the higher recorded numbers looking at this field in the past 3 starts. The 11/22 race might have been a PREP finding a race on the circuit and showed run making a WIDE MOVE after the SLOG and overall visuals to suggest IMPROVE. 

ML favorite #1 AGATINO has consistent figures to support that role and is an upgrade from 10/14 trip racing WIDE X_FLOW. Overall their current form fits though lands in a contentious spot paired with projected shorter odds.

Fair Grounds Race 8

Post Time 4:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Following the trend of runners from the Hawthorne meet: #2 SIR PISTOLERO returns fresh after two subtle trips in Stickney. They looked to use the 9/26 race as a PREP especially with the race moved to the main track, the addition of front wraps and the race won by their stablemate, King Of The Palace. They had a look returning to the turf (with the wraps removed) on 10/10 though caught in TRAFFIC impacted their outcome. 

Los Alamitos Tb Race 1

Post Time 8:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 SPUN NOT STIRRED turned in a BTL effort on debut though exposed (DROP) in their second start stepped up to MSW company. The same race to race pattern follows some others in this field including #1 TOPPERS AT SEASIDE one that could look to take the field gate-to-wire from the rail under E. Maldonado though might find company with the stretch out runners - a scenario to assist SPUN NOT STIRRED from off the pace and their tendency to break SLOG. 

Los Alamitos Tb Race 7

Post Time 10:24 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 J DUTTON could be flying under the radar for their connections and upgraded as they make their second start on this circuit getting a race in at DMR last month and that PREP along with the STRETCH out in distance should assist here.