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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Thu March 6th, 2025

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Emily's Analysis

Fair Grounds Race 1

Post Time 12:45 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#9 NOW YUS CANT LEAVE turned in a competitive B- OptixGRADE at this level returning from the layoff last month despite the 5th place outcome. The had a SLOG TROUBLE_S before making a MOVE through TRAFFIC. At the least they should hold their form coming back under similar conditions and even present upside in today's race shape and a postive rider change to J. Graham. 

Turfway Race 2

Post Time 5:25 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

There are a group of runners returning from the 1/25 common race including the ML favorite, #7 GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY though preference to others given the trips/visuals: #1 TEAM TROY is given a X_FLOW upgrade and overall upgrade second start at the MCL level; #3 RUN HELWIG RUN had a visual physical issue on the day to move forward from and perhaps was not given enough timing wheeling back in 13-days for the race last month to get that sorted and this could now be the time for them to IMPROVE.

Turfway Race 3

Post Time 5:55 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Following a less than ideal outcome coming off the layoff last month at GP #4 CONQUERING CAT could be overlooked and drift up from the assigned ML. They showed run during the brief juvenile campaign and visuals from the Bashford Manor to suggest they can STRETCH out in distance and will have that initial two turn test today.