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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat July 5th, 2025

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Emily's Analysis

Los Alamitos Tb Race 3

Post Time 4:11 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 WEBSTER brought upside into the 6/12 MCL event at SA and showed run in a less than ideal TACTIC- trip that might have cost them a better placing if not the win. Class wise they found a lateral move from the prior starts and flow-upgrade from the 3/21 start with the Fast early and Very Fast late pace. 

The biggest threat comes in the class dropping pair: #3 JUMPER CABLES wheels back from a WIDE trip with a Very Fast both early and late pace on 5/31; the surface switch is the unknown for #5 SMILING CAPOTE though the class DROP has been waiting for them and moves up with that key change. 

Woodbine Race 5

Post Time 2:08 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 SYMPATICO projects to IMPROVE off the debut and showing run in spots after missing the break/VSLOG. As far as ML favorite #5 MO ARGENTO they project to move up on the class DROP. As far as their most recent start class could have played a role and similar first time at the route distance, at the same time they did not have an excuse on trip, perhaps other than subtle pace with the winner closing from off the pace. 

Woodbine Race 7

Post Time 3:14 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 SHOTGUN WEDDING is a logical type and overlay at the assigned ML. They hold back class from the races last season and current form from the races this year pairing up B- OptixGRADES in each of the three starts on the year. The STRETCH out in distance from the 6f turf sprint last month suits their physicality. In addition to form, class and speed all on par their runstyle sits ABOVE+ on the Plot to work out the right trip from the inside. 

Woodbine Race 8

Post Time 3:47 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

A value case can be made for #5 GLORIANNA as they were much shorter under similar conditions earlier this meet. As far as that trip back on 5/17 not the ideal TACTIC- playing a role in the outcome and despite the running line and 5th place finishing position the VF early/late pace put in a solid CLOSE. #2  GO GIFFEN gives up recency first off the layoff thoug closed out the 2024 season with a B/BTL effort on 11/28.