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Sun May 17th, 2026 |
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Emily's Analysis
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:44 PM CST
#1 JET FLIGHT returns second off and to their preferred
route distance in this spot. While going shorter on 4/26 off the layoff to
their credit turned in a solid B- and should gain conditioning with the GALLOP+
after the wire. Stablemate #3 ROCKET HOTSHOT will give up recency as they
return from the layoff here though overall consistent closing runner to come on
late under familiar rider E. Giles.
#2 SIXWILLBERICH also returning second off and key rider
change for this start. They project to move forward here and gain the conditioning
while also holding value projected longer odds today than there were on 4/23.
#5 GLOBAL EMPIRE finds a big change in class and par returning
to Hawthorne. With that said he started to lose form with speed figure drop
after March and wheels back today without much rest on the two week turnaround.
Their overall record on this course and claiming level was consistent last year,
though still without a win in 2025. J. Loveberry aboard could make the
difference, at the same time should gather additional interest with the rider
change.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 3:16 PM CST
#2 WOLF HUNTER has shown in the past to improve with racing
and race into shape. That pattern continues here, third off, with progressive
Grades and figures. While the race shape is undefined, WOLF HUNTER has enough
tactical speed to work a trip.
F. Reyes takes over today shifting L. Colon to #5 MOONRISE
DRIVE wheeling back and from the 5/3 start, which did not allow for their best
chance to compete. They were compromised by the TROUBLE_S then chased WIDE
without much ask/NO_PUSH after.
#4 RUMBLING is deserving of a chance to STRETCH out once
again. Their lone start around two turns was MSW over the turf as a juvenile
and despite the running line and distant 6th place outcome they
showed interest making a WIDE MOVE.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:46 PM CST
ML favorite #1 URBAN RULER should get a favorable trip. They
drew the rail which can be tricky at times, though in this case should save
ground as rival #3 CHI TOWN PRINCE and #4 BOURBON STREET BOY look to duel and with
URBAN RULER saving ground to look for first run.
Number wise they hold the edge over former stablemate #2 BIG
D though still a lightly raced type who appears to run to their competition
should carry here and represent themselves in this spot. MTO #7 GAME SANTA
falls into that same category where they should be sitting on a peak effort now
third off racing into shape and following a similar third off pattern when
breaking their maiden last summer.
#5 BOTE also should move up should a surface switch come
into play with established main track form, less proven on the grass, though at
the right level for their abilities on this circuit while running against open
company.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 4:16 PM CST
#1 ICE AXE is a bit of a stab in this race though at
the same time fits and landing second off with some changes for this race. Today’s
race dynamic is slightly different as is the additional half-furlong of ground.
Today’s race par is the most significant change and should move up with that
alone. They have running with a much higher par since their win last July, that
7/3 par identical to today.
ICE AXE must still work a trip with pace to run at, though
the early pace should be honest. All three #2 UNCAPTURED PULSE, #4 LATIN CASINO
and #5 DEVILS RED bring in tactical speed to keep the early pace
honest. DEVILS RED perhaps some options outside the other trip while holding
competitive numbers, a favorable Plot position, and should move up second off
in what appeared to be a PREP for them on 5/7 making a late CLOSE racing in the
rain/WEATHER as a passing storm came through during the race.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:48 PM CST
#4 CULTURE SHOCK earned a follow from the late season debut
with TROUBLE_S making a WIDE RUSH and overall PREP to benefit from the experience.
Without many options as the meet winding down they ran on the Debutante making
a RUSH from the rail into a Fast early pace all factors including the layoff
which followed playing a role in outcome. They return here and while racing at
the MCL level, in against open they run for the higher $35k tag.
#3 MOEDE’S BEJEWELED could benefit from the change in class
and time to mature while also racing first time on Lasix. While they are racing
first time for a claiming tag, the $25k on this circuit is not signaling they
want to move on and more a placement to find where they can compete coming back
this year. They show up with steady works and a live rider for capable
connections. In addition, they had some support first out as a the favorite and
closed out the season with the TROUBLE_S and NO_PUSH, one perhaps with still
more to show.
The first time starting category should be live with L.
Rivelli holding the pair in this case. #2 STYLISH GIRL has the more consistent
pattern of recent works into this race. #6 WAR TORN GODDESS has the longer
series of published works; there are gaps including the two most recent from
March 30 until May 10th. The barn often has FTS capable of showing early
speed, a runstyle which could find company as both #5 VERONICAFORTHEWIN and #7
DOTTIE C have shown legitimate early speed.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 5:19 PM CST
#2 LAST MOON makes a belated second start and significant
change in class. They caught a solid group in the MSW last August while showing
early speed on the day, early speed which should translate here and even
present a pace advantage. Worth noting the 8/28 MSW race has been productive
with the winner Big D running earlier on the card, third place finisher Bridge
Classic returning to break their maiden in their next start; Gogh breaking
their maiden here last weekend and even 5th place finisher Thiever returned
to finish second in a MSW subtle trouble trip over the Hawthorne turf on 10/16.
#3 SIG FORTY FIVE showed some run on spots returning in the
4/19 MCL event though not quite on the level of their competition where the
DROP should move them up all around and perhaps overlooked for the connections
and from the recent finishing positions. Their stablemate #1 LESLEY’S LEGACY,
3yo filly will run against open today and overall one with upside and looking
through the others in this field, a move forward is not out of the question and
while necessary does not require that big of a jump in a second start to be on
their level.
Number wise there is not much between #6 LORD BLOCK and #7
GRAY MIKE the two established older
maiden runners in this field. The change in class for LORD BLOCK presents that
class separator in this case returning to MCL company for the first time since
last summer and to their credit picked up a place finish under similar
conditions last July.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 5:49 PM CST
There are many in this field with surface versatility should
a change come into play. #4 HILARIOUS AFFAIR being one of those. They raced on
the main track last month, claimed out of that race with the higher par. Going
back in their career, they have had not only success turf sprinting but
recording some of their higher career speed figures - running back to those numbers
which clearly make them the horse to beat.
Similar could be said for common rival, #7 JOE THE TAILOR finishing
third in the 4/23 common race and appeared a prep for them coming off the layoff
and now returning to the turf course where they picked up a pair of wins (and a
pair of place finishes) to suggest intent today. Their stablemate #2 RACARINO
the 4/23 common race winner has limited turf intent, certainly worth a look on
the main track at the same time, is taking a subtle change when it comes to
class and distance.
#1 SHAKE UP holds a win over this turf course and class
level keying off the 8/10 start. They were not as effective at Oaklawn, though following
that circuit over the winter the races never set up for them. The connections
waiting for a return to Hawthorne and rejoin the J. Berndt barn could easily produce
a form reversal.
Sun May 17th, 2026 |
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Jim's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:44 PM CST
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 3:16 PM CST
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:46 PM CST
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:48 PM CST
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 5:19 PM CST
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 5:49 PM CST
Sun May 17th, 2026 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:44 PM CST
4-EUCLID AVENUE wired the field in his first start of the
meet and will probably be sent right to the lead again in this race. This race
is somewhat tougher but there are no other real front runners in the field,
though Jet Flight might be first from the gate. This gelding could assume the
lead before going a quarter and continue to lead the rest of the way. 1-JET
FLIGHT was a solid second in his first start of the year. That race was a
sprint, however, and he’s been better going two turns. The stretch out works in
his favor but he’s got to keep pressure on top choice to have his best chance.
5-GLOBAL EMPIRE has been in poor recent form at Oaklawn while meeting better
rivals but, a couple months ago, he was right there against the same
competition. A majority of his success came on this track. The return to
Hawthorne and the drop in class should get him headed back in the right
direction.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 3:16 PM CST
2-WOLF HUNTER is making his 37th start. He has
only one win to his credit but that could easily change today. He was 10
lengths back in his most recent race but that was still good enough for second
place. Doesn’t seem to have a whole lot of competition. Could earn that elusive
second victory. 1-BONIFIED CRAZY makes his first start as a winner. He did
finish second in that last start but the winner was DQ’d which gave this runner
his maiden victory. Like that he fought hard for the lead throughout. Do think
that he’ll go right to the lead again today but this race is considerably
longer and stamina could come into play. 4-RUMBLING is another stretching out.
This speedy runner has been around two turns only one other time and that race
was on grass. He’s another whose ability to get the distance comes into
question.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:46 PM CST
Not in love with 1-URBAN RULER but he does look like the
only runner in this speed-filled race that will try to come from a bit off the
pace, though he does have speed of his own. 2-BIG D faced tougher in his first
two turf races. He raced competitively, on dirt, in his first two starts of the
meet. Could kick it up a notch with the return to the weeds. 3-CHI TOWN PRINCE
seems like the quickest of these and he’ll be piloted by a rider that does a
great job holding front runners together.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 4:16 PM CST
4-LATIN CASINO gets the nod. He’s making only his second
start of the year after racing only twice in 2025 but should be ready to go. He
had only one workout going into his last start. Should be far better prepared
to get the distance on this race despite it being a sixteenth farther. 2-UNCAPTURED
PULSE, like top choice, tired late in his first start of the year. But he held
on well to finish third. The winner of that race came back to win his next
start, possibly making this runner’s effort in last even better than it looked
on paper. 5-DEVIL’S RED should show some late run. He closed a bit to finish
second in last and was still making up ground when they crossed the wire. The
longer distance of this race could work in his favor.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:48 PM CST
I can excuse 5-VERONICAFORTHEWIN’s poor effort in her
lone turf race. She was making her debut against maidens in a race carrying a
$180k purse. Her races since have been on the main track and she has been
displaying far better speed. But she does have a strong turf pedigree. Gotta
give her another chance. Trainer Larry Rivelli sends out two in this race. I
like 2-STYLISH GIRL’s workouts better but 6-WAR TORN GODDESS will carry Rivelli’s
most-often used rider. 4-CULTURE SHOCK drops into claimers for the first time.
Her barn does well with runners returning from long layoffs and this one will
also be racing with Lasix for the first time.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 5:19 PM CST
Big drop, strong workouts, and a weak field should all
converge to make 2-LAST MOON tough to beat at a very low price. 7-GRAY MIKE
makes his 31st start as a maiden. However, he does often get close. Wouldn’t
be too big of a surprise if he finally graduated. 6-LORD BLOCK finished second
the only time he raced near this level. That race took place almost a year ago.
Could be the best of the rest.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 5:49 PM CST
7-JOE THE TAILOR has been competitive on and off turf and
he has done well at the distance. Finished third in his first race of the meet
on dirt. He should be primed to improve in this race. 4-HILARIOUS AFFAIR has
had only minor turf success in his 16 races on that surface but all of those
races were against far tougher rivals. He was claimed by a red-hot barn from
last. Guessing he’ll be a major player at a square price. 1-SHAKE UP has been
generally competitive in his turf races. Had a win here at this level last
year. His recent form at Oaklawn, on dirt, has been terrible but expect him to
improve in a big way now that he’s back here.

