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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Mon November 6th, 2023

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Emily's Analysis

Hawthorne Race 1

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 FOX VALLEY CORSO settled for place last week though visually turned in a "winning" effort for the level. #4 ZENA LOU was 7-2 last week and had an excuse in running to give a look as she projects to be much higher odds. #9 SNAP KRACKLE NTROT also had consideration last week though eliminated with the break and seems intent with the hopples (and K. Husted) back on.

Hawthorne Race 2

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 WILAMAR SPARK, C. Stewart had an off week last week and could see improvement from horse and rider. #2 LOULITA sits logically back under similar conditions to where she has been competitive throughout her career. 

Hawthorne Race 3

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 ILIKEMEBETTOR A over #5 HE'ZZZ A WISE SKY based on current form cycle and trip coming into this race. #2 GET E UP has not quite been on the level of those two, though should find himself back to a top effort today to get back into the number at a price alternative to #6 PLAY ME ROCK.

Hawthorne Race 4

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 FREE ART has been consistent all season though coming off his best effort this year. He repeats he is winning for run if he races back to his other efforts the race opens up and upgrades #1 FOX VALLEY KODIAK and #5 JR STRIKE THREE.

Hawthorne Race 5

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 APPLE VALLEY was likely going to be favored before the scratch on Night of Champions. She has the current form on her side and edge though will give up recency and finds a driver change to J. Franco. Recency sits with #7 NO WIN NO FEED A though will give up local experience. #3 BOMBAY PARKWAY might have won if not for the adversity on 10/22 (common race) and validated that effort with the comfortable win last week. 

Hawthorne Race 6

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

The early pace should be honest given the complexion of this group and that scenario could assist #1 HEALTH BAR in this event and with C. Stewart taking over tonight. 

Hawthorne Race 7

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#7 JERI SUE was in hand and not asked on 10/29 her prior form makes her a main player. It could be seen as a positive the connections step up in class and C. Stewart remains in the bike. 

Hawthorne Race 8

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 MY UPTOWNE GIRL finds a subtle class change and given her current form fits as a main player in today's field. Trip will be key for #8 RONA MAE though current form cycle suggest she returning to a competitive effort. #7 LOOK KIMBO has followed an every other pattern this season and while this is a tougher spot than where she has won on that pattern a move forward can be projected here. 

Hawthorne Race 9

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Tough to look outside the three inside mares and as a case can be made for all three coming into this race the board (and on track visuals) can provide the necessary separator. 

Hawthorne Race 10

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#9 TREY ROCKETTE returns as an upgrade from their effort back on 10/22 from the trip and reunites with driver, K. Wilfong. The connections of #2 RJ ROCKS have shown confidence since the 10/15 win with the steps up in class and he has shown the ability to hold his own. The big change today could come from the board as he did not offer value on the step up the prior two weeks and could see a drift today given the morning line. #4 MARSHALL MALONE was one of the "overlay" runners as a result and finished with the win along side #10 JULERICA. 

Hawthorne Race 11

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#9 HELLO SWEETIE BOY gives up local experience and recency skipping October. His form this season make him a player and is encouraging K. Wilfong sticks around. #2 ROCKIN PULSE seems logical returning to this circuit with his effort here on 10/15 in line with today's group and condition. #6 FOX VALLEY MONACO was more competitive than perhaps the running line and finishing position last week under similar conditions. #3 MACHDAVID is the major wildcard in here making a late season return. Going back to last summer, those efforts make him a standout in this group. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Mon November 6th, 2023

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Fox Valley Corso 9 Snap Krackle Ntrot 1 El Champee'onn

Hawthorne Race 2

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Jack Vernon 3 Aunt Percilla 4 Poko Loki

Hawthorne Race 3

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 He'zzz a Wise Sky 6 Play Me Rock 4 Ilikemebettor

Hawthorne Race 4

Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Ponda Spark 3 Free Art 4 Enrico Pallazzo

Hawthorne Race 5

Analysis by Jim Miller
7 No Win No Feed 2 Apple Valley 8 Rock it Out

Hawthorne Race 6

Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Rockyroad Aldo 6 Perlucky 5 Annas Lucky Star

Hawthorne Race 7

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Thats Cache 6 Who Says 1 Fox Valley Bustier

Hawthorne Race 8

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Silvershoe Chixy 7 Look Kimbo 8 Rona Mae

Hawthorne Race 9

Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Double Parked 4 JD's Queen Lori 2 Graceful Horizon

Hawthorne Race 10

Analysis by Jim Miller
9 Trey Rockette 5 Vespa 6 Tookadiveoffdipper

Hawthorne Race 11

Analysis by Jim Miller
9 Hello Sweetie Boy 2 Rockin Pulse 5 Lyons Coppertop
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Mon November 6th, 2023

Download as PDF

Ron's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 -FOX VALLEY CORSO 7 -ICE SPLITTER 1 -EL CHAMPEE’ONN

6-FOX VALLEY CORSO-Strong finish in last got second

7-ICE SPLITTER-3rd both local starts

1-EL CHAMPEE’ONN-Seeks to wire them

 

Hawthorne Race 2

Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 -LOULITA 3 -AUNT PERCILLA 5 -JACK VERNON

2-LOULITA-Been very good lately

3-AUNT PERCILLA-Back from Indy; usually tough

5-JACK VERNON-Should benefit from the drop

Hawthorne Race 3

Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 -HE’ZZZ A WISE SKY 6 -PLAY ME ROCK 3 -FOX VALLEY GEMINI

5-HE’ZZZ A WISE SKY-Will be controlling speed again

6-PLAY ME ROCK-Won three of four local Opens; beat “Sky” three back

3-FOX VALLEY GEMINI-Chance if top pair duel for the lead

Hawthorne Race 4

Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 -FREE ART 1 =FOX VALLEY KODIAK 2 -PONDA SPARK

3-FREE ART-Swoops by them late

1=FOX VALLEY KODIAK-Another with dead in in last sixteenth mile

2-PONDA SPARK-Good every local race

Hawthorne Race 5

Analysis by Ron Uchman
8 -ROCK IT OUT 7 -NO WIN NO FEED N 5 -FOX VALLEY EXPLOIT

8-ROCK IT OUT-Just teases them on the lead

7-NO WIN NO FEED N-Indy shipper will be flying late

5-FOX VALLEY EXPLOIT-Would be a mistake to count her out

Hawthorne Race 6

Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 -PERLUCKY- 5 -ANNAS LUCKY STAR 4 -TALK ABOUT VALOR

6-PERLUCKY-Loves the front end

5-ANNAS LUCKY STAR-Regular driver back today

4-TALK ABOUT VALOR-Uncharacteristically vulnerable lately

Hawthorne Race 7

Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 -THAT’S CACHE 6 -WHO SAYS 3 -TRIDENT BORN

5-THAT’S CACHE-Seems a bit faster than the rest

6-WHO SAYS-Meets somewhat easier

3-TRIDENT BORN-Possibly dangerous speed

Hawthorne Race 8

Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 -SILVERSHOE CHIXY 3 -MY UPTOWNE GIRL 2 -FOUND MY ROCK

5-SILVERSHOE CHIXY-Might outfinish them all

3-MY UPTOWNE GIRL-Consistent speed close throughout

2-FOUND MY ROCK-Overcame outside to score in last

Hawthorne Race 9

Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 -DOUBLE PARKED 2 -GRACEFUL HORIZON 3 -LORRAINE

1-DOUBLE PARKED-Speed may not be denied

2-GRACEFUL HORIZON-Just missed to tough winner

3-LORRAINE-Drops to meet a bit easier

Hawthorne Race 10

Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 -VESPA N 10 -JULERICA 7 -M I ROCKIN

5-VESPA N-Invader is meeting easier

10-JULERICA-Tough post but been just missing similar

7-M I ROCKIN-Maybe a bit outclassed but great form

Hawthorne Race 11

Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 -ROCKIN PULSE 1 -JIMMY THE DUKE 3 -MACHDAVID

2-ROCKIN PULSE-Back to right level in Hawthorne return

1-JIMMY THE DUKE-Flies late; might get there

3-MACHDAVID-Maybe ready off long layoff