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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri June 7th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post Time 11:45 AM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 W W CRAZY wheels right back from an EX - EXCUSE two weeks ago and with a rider change noting the TACTIC- on the day. Form and figures fit on their best day and should be able to work out a trip under R. Santana with their runstyle as class is the biggest hurdle that requires price compensation. 

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post Time 1:45 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 L J'S EMMA is due for some racing luck though appears well-intended and placed in this spot. She had a TRAFFIC TROUBLE trip closing out 2023 (October KEE) and returning on 4/18 posted a BTL/B effort given the trip and visuals upgrading the show outcome. 

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 OVERSTATEMENT wheels right back for a second start out of a higher MCL event both in par and tag and made up some ground in a dynamic with minimal change in running order. 

#3 TRACK LIGHT looked to require the DROP off the debut visuals and with that change in their second start had a legit EX - EXCUSE at CD on 11/23 closing out 2023. They returned from the layoff and upgraded from the WIDE trip in March at TP and should move up with the change in class here and conditioning for the second start of the cycle. 

#10 HALLUJAH HARRIS finds a quick return for this second start off the layoff and subtle change in class here. He showed run back on debut and based on the TURF visuals could appreciate the move to the outer draw today. 

Santa Anita Race 8

Post Time 6:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 HURRICANE WAY turned in a BTL effort recorded a B OptixGRADE on debut and lacked the trip on 5/4 showing a sneaking CLOSE and projects to IMPROVE off that race last month. 

#3 MONGOLIAN MAX projected to improve with the added ground off their debut and had a couple of EX prior to the TRAFFIC trip last month and has shown some progression race to race though must pick it up with the quickness with other "faster" horses in the field though should be a massive number in this group. 

Saratoga Race 6

Post Time 2:11 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#10 TIFAREEH has shown progression and class to compete at this level with buried form coming into this event. He earned a follow back in November at CD and returning in February put in a strong CLOSE and GALLOP on the GP turned. He found the public support off that trip last month at CD where the trip was more subtle, less obvious though compromising all the same and can move forward from that start in this time and place. 

Woodbine Race 8

Post Time 4:08 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 SMALL TALK is a worth a price play. He has some adversity returning from the layoff and at the shorter 5f distance, though his turf sprints to date have remained competitive (stronger than what may appear "on paper") including a B OptixGRADE under similar conditions last season. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri June 7th, 2024

Download as PDF

Peter's Simulcast Plays

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post Time 11:45 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Apollo Rising - 9/5 3 Camp Daddy - 3/1 5 W W Crazy - 8/1

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post Time 12:14 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Novara - 2/1 10 Semantics - 6/1 6 Tonalite - 3/1

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post Time 12:43 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Silent Secretary [BRZ] - 3/1 9 Blue Vortex - 2/1 7 Evocation - 8/1

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post Time 1:13 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Minty - 4/1 5 Don't Blink - 6/1 1 American Women - 8/1

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post Time 1:45 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 L J's Emma - 7/2 5 Tony Ann - 2/1 2 Marissa's Lady - 4/1

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post Time 2:18 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Gold Luck - 7/2 7 Abadin - 9/2 4 Baton Rouge - 5/2

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post Time 2:50 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Doctor Nash - 5/2 4 Royal Act - 4/1 7 Leblon - 3/1

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 3:22 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Pure Poetry - 5/1 10 Moonlight - 7/2 6 Fortune Seller - 30/1

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Bricklayer - 2/1 4 Bookie Brent - 6/1 11 Quiet Rush - 5/1

Saratoga Race 1

Post Time 11:20 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Trulli Warrior - 7/2 4 Illuminare - 4/1 8 Rolling Along - 6/1

Saratoga Race 2

Post Time 11:53 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Tapit Shoes - 8/1 6 Donegal Forever - 9/2 4 Costa Terra - 4/1

Saratoga Race 3

Post Time 12:27 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Yo Daddy - 5/1 9 Mo Rewards - 5/2 4 Victors Valiant - 9/2

Saratoga Race 4

Post Time 1:01 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Debate - 3/1 4 Notah - 9/2 11 Leftembehind - 10/1

Saratoga Race 5

Post Time 1:36 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Clear the Air - 7/2 10 Mischievous Angel - 4/1 2 Script - 6/1

Saratoga Race 6

Post Time 2:11 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Army Officer - 9/2 6 Spirit Prince - 7/2 1 Stolen Magic - 5/1

Saratoga Race 7

Post Time 2:46 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Sam's Treasure - 8/1 4 Munnys Gold - 6/5 6 Sugar Hi - 12/1

Saratoga Race 8

Post Time 3:21 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 El Capi - 4/1 12 Jefferson Street - 5/1 1 General Partner - 5/2

Saratoga Race 9

Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Roses for Debra - 6/5 10 Love Reigns [IRE] - 3/1 2 Kaufymaker - 10/1

Saratoga Race 10

Post Time 4:30 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Coppice [GB] - 3/1 2 Beaute Cachee [FR] - 6/1 6 Chili Flag [FR] - 4/1

Saratoga Race 11

Post Time 5:05 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Didia [ARG] - 9/2 6 Fev Rover [IRE] - 8/1 2 English Rose [IRE] - 3/1

Saratoga Race 12

Post Time 5:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Thorpedo Anna - 8/5 2 Power Squeeze - 12/1 6 Where's My Ring - 8/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 We Believin 1 Mikis Duchess 6 Distant Lover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Willow Time 4 Finite 1 Top Mast

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Prohibition Legal 2 Twin B Joe Fresh 7 Grace Hill

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Gigondas 10 Cadillac 4 Rowlen

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Cheesy Smile 1 Ellas Reason 3 JM Betonsix

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Highland Kismet 3 Winter Soldier 2 Private Access

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 How Much 3 Right Match 7 Pasta Delight

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Silver Label 5 Always B Naughty 4 Sylvia Hanover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Betterwithglasses 7 Coco Jo Jo 6 Resilience

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Huntress 9 Angostura Hanover 8 Goudawon
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri June 7th, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Saratoga Race 12

Post Time 5:40 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

ACORN (G1):

#4 JUST F Y I has held her form and looking just as strong in the morning since the Oaks (G1) to turn the tables on #9 THORPEDO ANNA in upstate NY. Going back to the Oaks (G1) it was THORPEDO ANNA's day though taking nothing away from the effort from JUST F Y I earning a B OptixGRADE. On number THORPEDO ANNA popped with a new top and JUST FYI has stronger figures to run back to and in terms of trip could work out the right run given the complexion of the field and race design.