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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat September 28th, 2024

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Peter's Simulcast Plays

Canterbury Park Race 1

Post Time 4:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Morgs World - 5/1 9 Midnight Lane - 6/1 6 Jocasta - 3/1

Canterbury Park Race 2

Post Time 4:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Checkcashingconnie - 9/2 7 Starlet Cole - 4/1 6 Scream Machine - 5/2

Canterbury Park Race 3

Post Time 5:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Southgate Gator - 9/2 10 Perry County - 3/1 11 Makin My Fortune - 4/1

Canterbury Park Race 4

Post Time 5:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Spinning Heart - 4/1 3 El Encanto - 6/1 2 Baby Nova - 8/1

Canterbury Park Race 5

Post Time 6:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Loring Park - 5/2 2 War Chest - 4/1 3 Mountain Pine - 8/1

Canterbury Park Race 6

Post Time 6:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Bodenheimer - 9/2 8 Future Perfect - 8/1 10 Stability - 4/1

Canterbury Park Race 7

Post Time 7:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Indie Freedom - 9/2 8 Don't Fly Stand By - 4/1 4 R N R Audible - 5/2

Canterbury Park Race 8

Post Time 7:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Mystifier - 4/1 2 Master of Disguise - 5/2 3 Midnight Royal - 8/1

Canterbury Park Race 9

Post Time 8:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Good Grief Claude - 5/1 2 Midnight Joy - 7/2 1 Rynotograce - 4/1

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post Time 5:00 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Sesame Streek - 5/1 4 Kistler - 5/1 2 Getoutyourwallet - 10/1

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post Time 5:28 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 My My Munny - 6/1 7 Yolo Calls - 5/1 3 Tell Me When - 5/2

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post Time 5:56 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Abadin - 7/2 1 Wake Surf - 5/2 3 Tagliatelle - 9/2

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post Time 6:26 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Crisis Manager - 10/1 10 Atlal - 4/1 12 Ravens Dream - 6/1

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post Time 6:57 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Champlin - 9/5 1 Gulfport - 5/2 6 Sweet Cherry Pie - 2/1

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post Time 7:30 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Ghosttapper - 3/1 8 My Shot - 5/1 7 Mad About Marie - 4/1

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post Time 8:04 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
12 Framework - 3/1 11 Captain Cook - 10/1 9 Tswalu - 7/2

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 8:37 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Mufasa [CHI] - 4/1 7 Saudi Crown - 4/5 6 Big Blue Line - 20/1

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 9:09 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Good Cheer - 7/5 4 Chattanooga Crew - 5/1 6 Hearts United - 5/1

Churchill Downs Race 10

Post Time 9:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Hit Show - 2/1 5 Disarm - 3/1 4 Cooke Creek - 5/1

Churchill Downs Race 11

Post Time 10:08 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Firefight - 10/1 1 Velociraptor - 4/1 8 Mischievous M - 10/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Southwind Sambucca 5 Capitano Italiano 2 Major Fernaco

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Ibelieveinangels 9 Ivy Lynn 6 Tellers Choice

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Pick Me Up Hanover 8 Wicked Craving 2 Stellrmanipulation

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Cousin Halifax 3 Go Blue 6 Pierre In Paris

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Mr Ibiza 1 The Greek Freak 9 Clever Cody

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Crack Shot 7 Blue Bar 4 Sunsational

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Love Those Legs 2 How Much 5 Collusion Hanover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Betterwithglasses 2 How Much 5 Collusion Hanover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Jack N Abs 3 Sid The Kid 4 R No Mercy

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Century Komodo 1 The Vicar 3 Sports Activator

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 11

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Cereal Assassin 9 Gandalf The Bay 8 House Edge Hanover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 12

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Wheels On Fire 3 Larceny 1 Write Me A Rose
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat September 28th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post Time 5:28 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 GHOSTLY NIGHT is playable at the projected 4-1 odds in this spot. She returns from a slight freshening, tends to run well with time between starts and under conditions/par where she has recorded B/figures on par. Her stalking Q2 runstyle should suit today's race dynamic to work a trip - the pace perhaps the knock for #3 TELL ME WHEN factoring as the favorite, the projected shorter odds.

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post Time 5:56 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 WAKE SURF is logical as the favorite finding class relief and back to the main track following a TROUBLE trip earlier this month at KYD. His form over this course and for Dutrow has remained consistent when comparing class/trips with figures on par for this race. 

#3 TAGLIATELLE is the lone 3x winner eligible for this race as a sophomore. He fits on his best day and perhaps a further upgrade from the 8/19 allowance when taken out of their typical stalk-and-pounce runstyle sent to the lead from the rail. 

Churchill Downs Race 10

Post Time 9:40 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

LUKAS CLASSIC (G2)

#5 DISARM should present value in this field and the right timing/placement to find a graded stakes win as an older horse. He returned off the layoff this year with a win, though also wearing a bar shoe in the two CD starts this season. He held his own at SAR in G1 company and returns to his home back in KY. He will also return to T. Gaffalione, the rider that was aboard for his dominant maiden win back in 2022, and also a rider that has had success for the S. Asmussen barn this meet to suggest further intent with that rider change here. 

Santa Anita Race 7

Post Time 5:37 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 EL ENCINAL is still unproven on this circuit though a longshot to consider as he makes his second local appearance. He made his local debut last month in the Del Mar H. (G2) off a strong series of works and wanted to show more early speed (TACTIC-) though forced to rate. They could take up a front running role in here, a runstyle that is lacking especially with the main contenders looking for pace to target and the "upset" could come from a first run scenario.