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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat October 26th, 2024

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 7:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Ally's Got Grit - 9-5 6 Shady Maple Becker - 3-1 7 Call Me Maevey - 9-2

5-ALLY'S GOT GRIT just missed last week. Good draw here and gets pace to chase. 6-SHADY MAPLE BECKER chased behind Ally's Got Grit last week. Figures to be right there once again. 7-CALL ME MAEVY battled last out. Curious to see if he rates and rallies tonight.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 7:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Goomster - 3-2 5 Loulita - 2-1 1 Jack Vernon - 4-1

2-GOOMSTER has speed and draws well. A chance to steal in here. 5-LOULITA was very good last week. Figures to be right there once again. 1-JACK VERNON closed with a rush last week. Could show more in second back off the layoff.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 7:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Dandy's Princess - 9-5 3 Lous Avalon - 7-2 6 Highclasvegasbunny - 5-2

1-DANDY'S PRINCESS has speed and draws the inside. Could make the top and never look back. 3-LOUS AVALON has been consistent in the last three. Likely chases again. Just needs some finish. 6-HIGHCLASVEGASBUNNY showed some signs in her last. Expect to see her charging late.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 8:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Perlucky - 5-2 4 Calderone - 5-1 2 Reign And Shine - 5-1

6-PERLUCKY drops a notch off his last. Has speed and should contend the entire way. 4-CALDERONE rallied on the inside last out. Gets a good stalking trip again. 2-REIGN AND SHINE figures to settle and close late. Always tries hard as he approaches $200k in lifetime earnings.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 8:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Rk's Swift - 9-5 6 Miss Tootie - 5-1 4 Tulip At The Beach - 4-1

1-RK'S SWIFT was a good second while at a big price last week. No value tonight but she should be right there once again. 6-MISS TOOTIE has been better in her last three. Continues to improve coming into here. 4-TULIP AT THE BEACH was in tough last week. Finds things much easier tonight.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 8:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Rockin Sage - 3-1 7 Lucky Dottie - 6-1 5 Castielle - 12-1

1-ROCKIN SAGE just missed at this level last week. Figures to rate closer tonight from the inside draw. 7-LUCKY DOTTIE showed speed and tired last week. May choose to rate tonight. 5-CASTIELLE draws better tonight. Could sneak into the mix with a late rally.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 9:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Drinking And Dream - 9-2 8 First Of Her Name - 9-2 3 Itty Bitty Secret - 8-1

1-DRINKING AND DREAM has won three in a row coming into here. Looks to be in best form of career. 8-FIRST OF HER NAME has won her last couple. Dug in gamely for the score here last week. 3-ITTY BITTY SECRET was a good second last week. Should track the pace again tonight.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 9:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Fox Valley Durham - 5-1 5 Scrappy Comingup - 8-1 8 Fox Valley Kodiak - 4-1

4-FOX VALLEY DURHAM has had a fine season. Draws well and provides some value tonight. 5-SCRAPPY COMINGUP has been very good this year. Looks to chase and contend tonight. 8-FOX VALLEY KODIAK left from an outside draw last week and posted a good effort. Likely sends once again.

Hawthorne Race 10

Post Time 10:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 City By The Bay - 5-1 8 Kizzzmelikeumissme - 3-1 5 Thats Cache - 6-1

4-CITY BY THE BAY has been consistent in recent races. Figures to show speed in here. 8-KIZZMELIKEUMISSME chased and tired last week. That race was against better though as she searches for her first win of the year. 5-THATS CACHE rallied well in her first back off the rest. She's a sleeper at a price.

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat October 26th, 2024

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Ron's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 7:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 Ally's Got Grit - 9-5 4 Frontier Macho - 7-2 7 Call Me Maevey - 9-2

5-ALLY’S GOT GRIT-2nd twice in Kadabra legs

4-FRONTIER MARSHALL-3rd twice in Kadabra legs neither vs top choice

7-CALL ME MAEVEY-Expect a late move

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 7:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 Loulita - 2-1 2 Goomster - 3-2 1 Jack Vernon - 4-1

5-LOULITA-Just dominated similar

2-GOOMSTER-Chance he’ll need a race

1-JACK VERNON-Good 2nd in last despite long layoff

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 7:50 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 Highclasvegasbunny - 5-2 1 Dandy's Princess - 9-5 3 Lous Avalon - 7-2

6-HIGHCLASVEGASBUNNY-Marcus chose this one

1-DANDY’S PRINCESS-Good rail speed; stablemate of top choice

3-LOUS AVALON-In money nine of 10

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 8:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
4 Calderone - 5-1 6 Perlucky - 5-2 5 Justa Hintof Spice - 7-2

4-CALDERONE-Won last; gets same kind of trip tonight

6-PERLUCKY-Speed might last with class drop

5-JUSTA HINTOF SPICE-Dominated in meet debut

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 8:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 Rk's Swift - 9-5 5 Shady Maple Bridgt - 5-2 4 Tulip At The Beach - 4-1

1-RK’S SWIFT-Just missed 1st Hawthorne start

5-SHADY MAPLE BRIDGT-Comes flying late

4-TULIP AT THE BEACH-Better chance this level

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 8:50 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 Fox Valley Reeva - 5-2 1 Rockin Sage - 3-1 6 Admit - 3-1

2-FOX VALLEY REEVA-Won this level 2 races back

1-ROCKIN SAGE-Came from far back to just miss

6-ADMIT-Gets top driver this time

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 9:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 Deja Vu Babyboo - 3-1 1 Drinking And Dream - 9-2 3 Itty Bitty Secret - 8-1

6-DÉJÀ VU BABYBOO-Break in last cost her; sharp all year

1-DRINKING AND DREAM-Seeks 4th straight win

3-ITTY BITTY SECRET-Might fight off rest of speed

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 9:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 Lounar Eclipse - 3-1 3 Doctor Cruise - 6-1 8 Fox Valley Kodiak - 4-1

1-LOUNAR ECLIPSE-Barely lost local debut

3-DOCTOR CRUISE-Missed a start but figures

8-FOX VALLEY KODIAK-Razor sharp last five

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 9:50 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 Iron Sharpens Iron - 2-1 1 Aunt Percilla - 7-2 7 Jewels For Champ - 5-1

6-IRON SHARPENS IRON-Guessing best speed this event

1-AUNT PERCILLA-Back from Indy; usually tough around here

7-JEWELS FOR CHAMP-Price chance if he stays flat

 

Hawthorne Race 10

Post Time 10:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 Ideal's Nicole - 10-1 1 Fox Valley Taran - 5-1 8 Kizzzmelikeumissme - 3-1

2-IDEAL’S NICOLE-Good recent form; likes it here

1-FOX VALLEY TARAN-Early break in last caused poor effort

8-KIZZZMELIKEUMISSME-0-for-24 but often in the money

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat October 26th, 2024

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Peter's Simulcast Plays

Keeneland Race 1

Post Time 12:00 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 All Class - 1/1 8 Lite It Up Louie - 4/1 3 Play Good Pay Good - 5/1

Keeneland Race 2

Post Time 12:32 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Princess Is Olivia - 6/1 1 Sugar Bell - 4/1 2 Outofnothingatall - 5/2

Keeneland Race 3

Post Time 1:04 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
12 El Joury - 8/1 9 My Gal - 5/1 11 Illuminatrice - 9/2

Keeneland Race 4

Post Time 1:36 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Kiki Krazy - 6/1 1 Best Performer - 2/1 5 Calisue - 15/1

Keeneland Race 5

Post Time 2:08 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Public Assembly - 3/1 5 Shiloh's Mistress - 4/1 2 Miss Hebrides - 4/1

Keeneland Race 6

Post Time 2:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Politicallycorrect - 9/2 6 Long Neck Paula - 8/1 7 White Sands - 10/1

Keeneland Race 7

Post Time 3:12 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Kehoe Beach - 9/5 3 Neom Beach - 9/2 2 Mrs. Astor - 8/1

Keeneland Race 8

Post Time 3:44 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Hit Show - 2/1 4 War Campaign - 8/1 6 Rattle N Roll - 4/1

Keeneland Race 9

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Evade [FR] - 6/1 6 Brilliant Berti - 7/2 11 Trikari - 2/1

Keeneland Race 10

Post Time 4:48 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 The Chalk - 3/1 12 Winter Creek - 4/1 5 Thunderhawk - 6/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Wallace Hartley 1 Dancelike Ehskippr 5 Gandalf The Bay

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Getting Euchred 5 Duchenne 8 Ellas Reason

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Southside Eddy 5 Momas Son Byrne 8 Legion Seelster

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Pipewrench Charlie 4 Bettor Than Pride 1 Moonwatcher

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Gravitational 2 Hazardos 9 Brudon

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Livinthebeachlife 5 Boston Bound 4 Redwood Hanover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Taurasi 7 Jabberwocky 9 Fortify

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Smokestack 1 Wildriverbumblebee 10 Mad Man Hill

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Harry G 3 Forefather 4 McWicked Time

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Cereal Assassin 4 Ivy Park 6 Fasnacht Hanover

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 11

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Speaker Of Peace 2 Nightime Dancer 7 Self Made
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat October 26th, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Keeneland Race 6

Post Time 2:40 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

BOWMAN MILL STAKES:

#1 TOUGH CATCH showed ability training up to his debut and backed up those visually winning first out. The connections took an ambitious path running in the Hopeful (G1) for their second start and keep the confidence high showing up in stakes company here. TOUGH CATCH has continued to train forwardly out of the Hopeful (G1) at CD and strong visuals in those works to suggest they are race ready here and peaked for this event. 

Keeneland Race 9

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

BRYAN STATION G3:

#2 DEPICTION turned in a BTL effort despite the 7th place outcome in the Transylvania (G3) in the spring and validated those visuals picking up the allowance win in their next start. They have been looking for the right stakes spot since and return second of the cycle from a competitive B- TRAFFIC CLOSE in the Gun Runner stakes last month at KYD behind their stablemate and today's rival #6 BRILLIANT BERTI. 

#11 TRIKARI shares form with BRILLIANT BERTI going back to the Secretariat (G2) over the summer at CNL. TRIKARI returns to age-restricted 3yo company following a competitive B- effort in the City of Hope (G2) last month at SA racing as the lone sophomore in the field. He caught an established group of older rivals and finished in a blanket for the minors behind the first run winner, Johannes. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat October 26th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Keeneland Race 10

Post Time 4:48 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 FREE COUNTRY can be upgraded from the debut as part of the early pace racing X_FLOW before losing ground and NO_PUSH while the race winner, Mitty's Griddy rallied to win from well off the pace. #5 THUNDERHAWK raced X_BIAS on debut and RANK slightly X_FLOW last month when stretched out around two turns. That could present some upside as they find the class drop as well as the return to a sprint here.

As noted earlier in the week, trainer G. Compton can send out live FTS in this category and given a look with debuting #10 FRACK BABY with C. Torres aboard - the two teamed up earlier in the meet to finish third with a TROUBLE trip on a juvenile MSW runner called Surfin' M.

#12 WINTER CREEK will be tested with the circuit switch though noted from the debut raced X_FLOW and upgraded however might not present the value in this race required based on the ML that should hold given the connections and could allow for overlays on others. 

Santa Anita Race 9

Post Time 7:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 KANTHARA was given a follow off her debut back in 2022 and projected to IMPROVE did just that breaking her maiden in the second career start. She will follow a similar "second off" pattern with the long 693-day layoff return in August at DMR where much like her debut showed run and making a MOVE X_FLOW can IMPROVE off the effort and outcome.