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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Thu December 19th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Fair Grounds Race 1

Post Time 12:45 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Emilyhadherturn on 11/18 when #4 COPPER MOON stumbled (TROUBLE_S) at the started RUSH-ed up and then dropped back (TACTIC-) allowing the LONE trip and EMILYHASHERTURN taking full advantage though also ran HARD to win. 

#6 STARSHIP JAMBALAYA should run and improved race in the second start of the meet and wheeling right back off a WIDE trip and NO_PUSH in play and finds a rider change here, all around intent. 

Fair Grounds Race 3

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 ROYAL COACH should benefit from their debut, something of a PREP back in October at KEE with a subtle trip from the (SLOG, TROUBLE_S) start. That 10/23 is the strongest par the horses in this field exit by a solid margin and form has held including the production of two next out winners. 

Fair Grounds Race 5

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 DAPPER MOON will get a lot of attention in here off their races to date and recorded speed figures that standout higher in this group. The distance for this runner back to ONE_TURN and might be where they are most effective. 

Turfway Race 5

Post Time 6:55 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#9 LADY GO GO showed run on debut in WEATHER impacted conditions with light snow and very cold temperature making a WIDE MOVE (and late lead change) behind the lone winner. They wheel right back for this second start and change things up with the stretch out in distance and slightly lower race par. The change should show tactical speed at least in comparison to #3 HIGH SHOT another logical type that should catch the right group to clear just needs to catch the right pace and trip. 

Turfway Race 6

Post Time 7:25 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#13 ODE TO BALLUS requires racing luck to draw in off the AE though does appear intended second off and was not the case last month off the layoff at CD. They hold sneaky form over this course and upside in those figures to compete here and could be overlooked off the recent finishing positions.